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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 756.25 | $0.007 | $5.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.006 |
| $0.03 |
| Jan 27, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | sell | 735 | $0.002 | $1.47 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 735 | $0.040 | $29.4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.019 | $29.4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 3.09K | $0.019 | $58.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 474.5 | $0.040 | $18.98 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Yes | sell | 17.4 | $0.016 | $0.28 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.001 | $0.4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.998 | $9.41 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.014 | $0.28 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 312.98 | $0.057 | $17.84 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 "The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60 and 74?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will HBO Max: Stream TV & Movies be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 150.95 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Spotify: Music and Podcasts be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 43.71 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 124.82 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Severance win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Avatar | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.035 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.45 | $0.164 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.148 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.171 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?Yes | buy | 112.17 | $0.018 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Avatar | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?Yes | buy | 231.22 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 668.33 | $0.003 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.058 | $2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 61.22 | $0.049 | $3 | Dec 17, 2025 |