Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 49.63 |
| $0.403 |
| $20 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of December 8?Yes | buy | 43.3 | $0.901 | $39 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?Yes | buy | 59.67 | $0.084 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Bonnie Blue leaves Indonesia by December 31?No | buy | 21.18 | $0.850 | $18 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 37.48 | $0.534 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 30%?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?Yes | buy | 73.09 | $0.274 | $20 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.07 | $0.344 | $10 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?Yes | buy | 56.94 | $0.351 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?No | sell | 128.2 | $0.827 | $106.05 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 26.15 | $0.650 | $17 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Yes | buy | 38.2 | $0.131 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.590 | $20 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |