Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.520 | $4.81 | -$15.19 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 163.35 | $0.122 | $20 | Mar 3, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 111.11 |
| $0.045 |
| $2.11 |
| -$2.89 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $1.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 714.29 | $0.007 | $0.36 | -$4.64 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $20 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 270.54 | $0.037 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 137.4 | $0.073 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 175.25 | $0.057 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 211.52 | $0.047 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 4 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 92.33 | $0.108 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 71.79 | $0.028 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 108.5 | $0.018 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 114.17 | $0.018 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 128.89 | $0.016 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 224.45 | $0.089 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 51.57 | $0.388 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 23.13 | $0.432 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?Yes | buy | 217.48 | $0.046 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Yes | buy | 256.78 | $0.195 | $50 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 116.51 | $0.215 | $25 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?No | buy | 272.37 | $0.220 | $60 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Mamady Doumbouya win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?No | buy | 175.75 | $0.057 | $10 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.149 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 3 or more countries in December 2025?Yes | buy | 297.43 | $0.134 | $40 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?No | buy | 126.13 | $0.079 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 201.35 | $0.050 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?Yes | sell | 294.01 | $0.978 | $287.54 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in November 2025?Yes | buy | 313.23 | $0.013 | $4 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?Yes | buy | 159.85 | $0.063 | $10 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?Yes | buy | 70.21 | $0.285 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?Yes | buy | 72.79 | $0.275 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |