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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?No | buy | 271.56 | $0.160 | $43.45 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 620.78 |
| $0.070 |
| $43.45 |
| Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 620.79 | $0.140 | $86.91 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 86.91 | $0.570 | $49.54 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.037 | $49.54 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.084 | $111.16 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 216.71 | $0.250 | $54.18 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?No | sell | 43.29 | $0.652 | $28.23 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 176.76 | $0.021 | $3.71 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | sell | 30.55 | $0.820 | $25.05 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 31.5 | $0.320 | $10.08 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | sell | 45.79 | $0.220 | $10.07 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 105.33 | $0.060 | $6.32 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 185.22 | $0.320 | $59.27 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 135.29 | $0.410 | $55.47 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 45.8 | $0.502 | $23 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | sell | 121.05 | $0.190 | $23 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 135.3 | $0.270 | $36.53 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Mamdani?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.010 | $0.03 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.012 | $12 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 30.56 | $0.360 | $11 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 121.05 | $0.190 | $23 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?No | buy | 43.29 | $0.462 | $20 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.220 | $1.12 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Iran before August?Yes | sell | 99.97 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.030 | $0.43 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 5.94 | $0.490 | $2.91 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?Yes | sell | 11.64 | $0.250 | $2.91 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 5.63 | $0.320 | $1.8 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.450 | $1.32 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4?No | sell | 118.11 | $0.004 | $0.47 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will the Reconciliation bill receive 219 or more votes?Yes | buy | 7.45 | $0.330 | $2.46 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | sell | 45.83 | $0.050 | $2.29 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Yes | buy | 64.92 | $0.031 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?Yes | buy | 45.83 | $0.060 | $2.75 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | sell | 26.88 | $0.170 | $4.57 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 31.09 | $0.140 | $4.35 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4?No | buy | 44.05 | $0.042 | $1.85 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?Yes | sell | 57.65 | $0.032 | $1.84 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Reconciliation bill receive 219 or more votes?Yes | buy | 7.51 | $0.410 | $3.08 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?Yes | sell | 15.41 | $0.330 | $5.09 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?Yes | buy | 57.66 | $0.037 | $2.13 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Congress authorizes military force against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 99.98 | $0.015 | $1.45 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 275.1 | $0.013 | $3.58 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 26.89 | $0.090 | $2.42 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Trump signs bill cutting Medicare before July?Yes | sell | 53.92 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jun 30, 2025 |