Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 162 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 47.9% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 30.3% on 21 Sep 2025. $62.96K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 15.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-the-insurrection-act-in-2025
| kamarat | Yes | 300 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 254 |
| Gubb0 | Yes | 246.92 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 162 |
| Ruiziness | Yes | 160.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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