Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88.5%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 10 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 88.5% on 13 Oct 2025 and the low 58.5% on 10 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 79.5% on 11 Oct 2025. $1.08M traded over the market's life.
513 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Oct 2025 – 13 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 | 58.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 88.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 6557a | No | 24.44K |
| Luckypen | No | 20.11K |
| Mugatu-eth | No | 16.89K |
| PKA | No | 14.19K |
| Danitheking | No | 13.16K |
| kepler0568 | No | 11.98K |
| dontstopbelieving | No | 10.21K |
| Eliyahoo | No | 9.26K |
| tsihkodiives | No | 9.15K |
| 4182 | No | 8.84K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-all-israeli-hostages-by-october-31
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