Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 4 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2025 to 5 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 5 Nov 2025 and the lowest 16.5% on 4 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 54% on 21 Oct 2025. $761.37K traded over the market's life.
157 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 4 Oct 2025 – 5 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | 16.5% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| OuchMyBalls | No | 10K |
| predictionGOAT69 | No | 8.69K |
| 888j | No | 5.6K |
| Ohryean | No | 2.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The longest U.S. government shutdown in history lasted 35 days, from December 22, 2018, until January 25, 2019. The current shutdown began at 12:01 AM ET on October 1, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a government funding bill is not signed into law by the President by November 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the bill must actually be signed by the President. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/current-shutdown-longest-in-us-history
| pepethebeast | No | 2.56K |
| AllByMyseIf | No | 2.48K |
| noobettor | No | 1.58K |
| lcpm1 | No | 1.49K |
| irmants | No | 978.59 |
| Mikolangello | No | 974.06 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
