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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | sell | 14.3 | $0.810 | $11.58 | Jun 11, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 448.83 |
| $0.064 |
| $28.82 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No | sell | 98.83 | $0.928 | $91.75 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 17.86K | $0.011 | $196.43 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 16.88K | $0.012 | $202.52 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.194 | $194.42 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.213 | $213 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 349.98 | $0.841 | $294.34 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during January press conference?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.019 | $2.85 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?No | buy | 24.4 | $0.870 | $21.23 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?Yes | sell | 17.25 | $0.420 | $7.25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?Yes | sell | 46.25 | $0.430 | $19.89 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.800 | $79.99 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Powell say "SEP" 4+ times during January press conference?No | sell | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?No | buy | 6.97 | $0.650 | $4.53 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.500 | $49.99 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.050 | $0.38 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 527.82 | $0.034 | $17.95 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.020 | $22 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.252 | $46.39 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.370 | $99.9 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.530 | $100.7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.022 | $0.44 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Sinners be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 149.69 | $0.015 | $2.25 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Sinners be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.009 | $11.4 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.510 | $153 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 216.47 | $0.526 | $113.94 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?No | buy | 216.47 | $0.440 | $95.19 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | buy | 806.83 | $0.140 | $112.96 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.147 | $26.09 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?No | buy | 177.01 | $0.839 | $148.59 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.136 | $12.79 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?No | buy | 93.69 | $0.820 | $76.83 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.220 | $164.81 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 938.33 | $0.250 | $234.58 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.051 | $82.33 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 820 | $0.094 | $76.8 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will "Monad" be said on the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 96 | $0.786 | $75.43 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?Yes | buy | 324.42 | $0.360 | $116.79 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 850 | $0.360 | $306 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.150 | $300 | Nov 19, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | sell | 180 | $0.870 | $156.6 | Nov 19, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 180 | $0.820 | $147.6 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No | sell | 90.77 | $0.964 | $87.5 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.969 | $678.3 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No | buy | 90.77 | $0.795 | $72.13 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | sell | 639.97 | $0.190 | $121.59 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 60.1 | $0.238 | $14.32 | Nov 15, 2025 |