Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 4.15 | $0.840 | $4.09 | +$0.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.640 | $1.5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.25 |
| $0.823 |
| $3.72 |
| +$0.22 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 3.66 | $0.819 | $3.38 | +$0.38 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.69 | +$0.19 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | Yes | 3.72 | $0.269 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 1.46 |
| $0.670 |
| $0.98 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.980 | $2.33 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.269 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.904 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.790 | $1.5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.953 | $1.5 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.740 | $1.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.970 | $1.59 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.110 | $0.32 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.710 | $1.95 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.973 | $2.97 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.840 | $1.49 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.974 | $1.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.981 | $3 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.984 | $3 | Dec 27, 2025 |