Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 82.8%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 18 Mar 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 82.5% on 25 Dec 2025.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 12:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 51.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 82.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 72.54K |
| k56 | No | 3.51K |
| ACara | No | 2.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-march
| No |
| 1.9K |
| Olrefand2 | No | 1.82K |
| Mrdings | No | 1.32K |
| yangguang0511 | No | 1K |
| Llllddddd145 | No | 459.56 |
| Dpa22 | No | 448.79 |
| orthodoxieqq | No | 400 |
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