No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 29, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$151.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 29, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 29 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 15 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 77 daily closes on record from 15 Nov 2025 to 29 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 29 Jan 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 5 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 100% on 29 Jan 2026. $151.26K traded over the market's life.

54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 8:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 15 Nov 2025 – 29 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Nov 2025	47.5%
29 Jan 2026	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	34.97K
Icy-Nutrition	No	3.49K
ctodaro	No	3.15K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the Selic rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Central Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its January 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for January 26-27, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.