Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 55.68 | $0.160 | $8.91 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.75 |
| $0.851 |
| $12.55 |
| Mar 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 23.5 | $0.840 | $19.74 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 13.89 | $0.920 | $12.78 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 78.68 | $0.250 | $19.67 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 119.34 | $0.183 | $21.84 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 27.41 | $0.830 | $22.75 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 47.31 | $0.635 | $30.03 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 98.6 | $0.340 | $33.52 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 24.68 | $0.910 | $22.46 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 29.48 | $0.817 | $24.09 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 72.43 | $0.460 | $33.32 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No | sell | 28.92 | $0.990 | $28.63 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 72.43 | $0.460 | $33.32 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 25.02 | $0.940 | $23.52 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 38.01 | $0.930 | $35.35 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 26.8 | $0.807 | $21.63 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 16?Yes | buy | 49.86 | $0.550 | $27.42 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 235.86 | $0.092 | $21.7 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19?Yes | sell | 94.66 | $0.780 | $73.83 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 16?Yes | buy | 26.03 | $0.890 | $23.17 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?No | sell | 95.37 | $0.240 | $22.89 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 235.86 | $0.099 | $23.35 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 60.02 | $0.380 | $22.81 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 60.03 | $0.390 | $23.41 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 14?Yes | sell | 937.43 | $0.040 | $37.06 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 14?Yes | buy | 936.44 | $0.070 | $65.55 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?No | buy | 94.3 | $0.303 | $28.54 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 273.11 | $0.078 | $21.28 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 302.91 | $0.096 | $29.08 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 55.96 | $0.274 | $15.32 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 55.97 | $0.449 | $25.14 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 273.11 | $0.090 | $24.58 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 133.42 | $0.226 | $30.15 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?Yes | sell | 703.39 | $0.044 | $31.12 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?Yes | buy | 702.62 | $0.071 | $50.12 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?Yes | sell | 438.94 | $0.147 | $64.31 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?Yes | sell | 766.33 | $0.052 | $39.85 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?Yes | buy | 765.52 | $0.070 | $53.59 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.940 | $1.04 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?Yes | buy | 436.96 | $0.160 | $69.91 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.880 | $6 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19?Yes | buy | 93.83 | $0.750 | $70.37 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 98.6 | $0.350 | $34.51 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 14?Yes | sell | 38.5 | $0.999 | $38.46 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 250.18 | $0.060 | $14.92 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250.19 | $0.135 | $33.69 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 14?Yes | sell | 41.95 | $0.999 | $41.91 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 302.91 | $0.103 | $31.2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 14?Yes | sell | 56.16 | $0.999 | $56.1 | Mar 14, 2026 |