
Resolved Yes on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 11 Mar 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 58.5% on 11 Mar 2026.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 3:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 11 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 48.5% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SingW | No | 7.72K |
| Thin-Membrane | No | 4.44K |
| qqqq88888 | No | 4.37K |
| Lone-Jailhouse | No | 1.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-16
| sfresgtrhrtfhyh | No | 1.15K |
| hgfhtfhtfh | No | 1.15K |
| c9c9c9c9c | No | 1.1K |
| shengmo | No | 1.02K |
| andreaxbt | No | 1K |
| whatareu | No | 1K |
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