Latest trade
Aug 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:13 AM UTC.
Analytics
Manifested is down $156.92 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:13 AM UTC.
$12.74 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Jul 19, 2025 UTC to Aug 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.700 | $177 | +$37 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 21?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-23 18:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 04:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 04:13 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-23 18:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.33K and losing ones cost $1.14K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $165.42 on “Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?” (No); the largest loss, $102.5 on “Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Aug 2026. It has traded 531 markets. Its open positions are worth $177 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.700 |
| $140 |
| Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Go the Distance?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will the fight end in a draw?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.017 | $1.28 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
 Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?Joshua | buy | 145 | $0.890 | $129.05 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.036 | $5.22 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.038 | $5.51 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1No | sell | 8.46 | $0.885 | $7.49 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1No | sell | 75.53 | $0.885 | $66.84 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1No | sell | 1 | $0.885 | $0.89 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1No | sell | 15.01 | $0.885 | $13.28 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1Yes | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1No | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1No | buy | 100 | $0.842 | $84.2 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.240 | $1.58 | Aug 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Aug 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 19.04 | $0.240 | $4.57 | Aug 4, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 198.03 | $0.490 | $97.03 | Aug 4, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.490 | $0.96 | Aug 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Aug 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?Yes | sell | 7.74 | $0.330 | $2.55 | Jul 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?Yes | sell | 71.97 | $0.330 | $23.75 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.330 | $7.02 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.540 | $97.2 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | sell | 141.17 | $0.700 | $98.82 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Jul 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.88 | $0.580 | $3.99 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?Yes | buy | 13.12 | $0.580 | $7.61 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | sell | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | sell | 11.96 | $0.640 | $7.66 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.790 | $8.27 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.790 | $7.52 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
 Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo join a new team this offseason?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jul 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No | sell | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
 Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No | sell | 112.56 | $0.470 | $52.9 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.470 | $94 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | Jul 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 108.26 | $0.540 | $58.46 | Jul 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 71.74 | $0.540 | $38.74 | Jul 19, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.