Analytics
Manifested is down $156.92 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.700 | $177 | +$37 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-23 18:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 05:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 05:49 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-23 18:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.33K and losing ones cost $1.14K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $165.42 on “Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?” (No); the largest loss, $102.5 on “Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?” (No).
It has traded 531 markets. Its open positions are worth $177 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
