Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by July 31?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$67.8K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 25 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.1 points down, to 3.5% on 26 Jul 2025. $67.81K traded over the market's life.

24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jul 2025	11.5%
1 Aug 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
nikotoul3111	Yes	1.92K
alfredthe	Yes	1K
BULLET	Yes	561.7
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	283

10 of 24 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand announces it has attained, or otherwise attains control of the Preah Vihear temple complex in Cambodia (https://maps.app.goo.gl/rCd3ghfaZxQdPW7MA) by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Thailand announces it has control of the temple complex, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of contradictory reporting. If Thailand comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution. Once Thailand captures the temple, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements made by Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.