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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 93.18 | $0.215 | $20 | Oct 19, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 60.61 |
| $0.330 |
| $20 |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Sydney Sweeney issue a statement about the American Eagle commercial by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.027 | $2 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Pakistan strike on India by August 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump mention "Sydney Sweeney" again by Friday?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump mention "Sydney Sweeney" again by Friday?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
US strikes Yemen by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
US strikes Yemen by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $117,000 on August 6?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Aug 2, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.920 | $15.33 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 162.74 | $0.999 | $162.58 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | sell | 140 | $0.210 | $29.4 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by July 31?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.038 | $5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.079 | $5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 27.77 | $0.992 | $27.55 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 91.44 | $0.730 | $66.75 | Jul 25, 2025 |