Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 28 Jul 2025, the highest close was 79.5% on 27 Jul 2025 and the lowest 54.5% on 25 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 79.5% on 27 Jul 2025. $93.2K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 4:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 28 Jul 2025, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 54.5% |
| 28 Jul 2025 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Boringbet | No | 803.19 |
| lissartter | No | 490.69 |
| diesko | No | 409.98 |
| EfraimDiveroli | No | 359.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Thailand and Cambodia between July 24, and August 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia has been reached will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thailand-x-cambodia-ceasefire-by-august-15
| 999Kris | No | 340.22 |
| jaya2 | No | 251.99 |
| RepublicOfChina | No | 124.95 |
| thoevo | No | 100 |
| Bright Vector F38B | No | 89.29 |
| Mckari | No | 67.67 |
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