Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 30 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 97.5% on 21 Sep 2025 and the low 59.5% on 31 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 91.5% on 18 Sep 2025. $244.84K traded over the market's life.
153 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 26, 6:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 54 points · 30 Jul 2025 – 21 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2025 | 62.5% |
| 21 Sep 2025 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MrPapaya | No | 4.44K |
| Dumitravel | No | 3.51K |
| Fluffy-Fusarium | No | 1.64K |
| Dede2024 | No | 1.3K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Fitting-Speedboat | No | 1.22K |
| vovovovo | No | 1.15K |
| Sizzling-Drama | No | 1.15K |
| Lebgdelastreet | No | 1.13K |
| sdiff123 | No | 999.97 |
| Vital-Harald | No | 975.08 |
