Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 809.1 | $0.580 | $52.59 | -$416.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 113.39 | $0.940 | $106.57 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 588.24 |
| $0.170 |
| $35.29 |
| -$64.71 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 135.14 | $0.370 | $18.92 | -$31.08 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.060 | $18.83 | -$1.17 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 86.96 | $0.230 | $1.87 | -$18.13 |
| buy |
| 89.31 |
| $0.720 |
| $64.3 |
| May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 652.5 | $0.153 | $100 | May 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 275.76 | $0.326 | $90 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?Yes | buy | 121.16 | $0.413 | $50 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?Yes | buy | 84.12 | $0.357 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?Yes | buy | 113.36 | $0.088 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.6 | $0.862 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | May 3, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.39 | $0.353 | $40 | May 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.090 | $30 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 231.41 | $0.216 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 197.22 | $0.152 | $30 | May 2, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by May 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 20.84 | $0.480 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Paper tiger" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?No | buy | 126 | $0.079 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?Yes | buy | 227.6 | $0.022 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?Yes | buy | 195.27 | $0.026 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?Yes | buy | 250.49 | $0.020 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?Yes | buy | 200.32 | $0.025 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?Yes | buy | 124.09 | $0.040 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?Yes | buy | 114.04 | $0.044 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3)No | buy | 19.68 | $0.487 | $9.59 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Paper tiger" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 26.19 | $0.552 | $14.46 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Pouring Into Our Country" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Yes | buy | 107.58 | $0.537 | $57.78 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 475.92 | $0.273 | $130 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 482.8 | $0.330 | $159.32 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 104.88 | $0.080 | $8.39 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 360.6 | $0.028 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 337.32 | $0.049 | $16.51 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 393.19 | $0.051 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 179.56 | $0.557 | $100 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.035 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | sell | 2.04K | $0.101 | $204.9 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.091 | $153.29 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 307.69 | $0.180 | $55.38 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 890 | $0.110 | $97.9 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 718.91 | $0.373 | $268.16 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Mar 6, 2026 |