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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.160 | $3.15 | -$12.85 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jan 21, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 18.52 |
| $0.270 |
| $5 |
| Jan 21, 2026 |
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.068 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 270.5 | $0.037 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Xi visit the US before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Ezra Cohen be next National Security Advisor?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Ezra Cohen be next National Security Advisor?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 5, 2025 |
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.690 | $4.14 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.870 | $15.82 | May 5, 2025 |
Trump announces additional funding cuts to Harvard before June?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.830 | $15.36 | May 5, 2025 |
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.236 | $2 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 170.55 | $0.012 | $2 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 141.82 | $0.014 | $2 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 148.29 | $0.034 | $5 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 106.45 | $0.188 | $20 | Apr 26, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "Russia" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during the May meeting?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.064 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Georgescu banned from Romania election?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will the next pop be elected in 3 days?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will the next pop be elected in 2 days?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Dasha Nekrasova attend Pope Francis' funeral?Yes | buy | 51.33 | $0.019 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Barack Obama attend Pope Francis' funeral?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Narendra Modi attend Pope Francis' funeral?Yes | buy | 52.6 | $0.019 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Xi Jinping attend Pope Francis' funeral?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Joe Biden attend Pope Francis' funeral?No | buy | 111.72 | $0.018 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Javier Milei attend Pope Francis' funeral?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Keir Starmer attend Pope Francis' funeral?No | buy | 91.82 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump attend Pope Francis' funeral?No | buy | 110.98 | $0.009 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will JD Vance attend Pope Francis' funeral?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Buffett say "A.I" or "Artificial Intelligence" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Apr 25, 2025 |
Will Buffett say "Charlie" or "Munger" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?No | buy | 13.75 | $0.073 | $1 | Apr 25, 2025 |