Analytics
Resolved No on 7 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 28.5%. Yes opened at 60% on 20 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2025 to 7 May 2025, the highest close was 81% on 17 Apr 2025 and the lowest 51.5% on 26 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 51.5% on 26 Apr 2025. $27.53K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 9, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 20 Mar 2025 – 7 May 2025, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2025 | 60.0% |
| 7 May 2025 | 71.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Raven DC58 | Yes | 1K |
| Crimson Signal 7F29 | Yes | 70.56 |
| PrincePuffy | Yes | 4.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on May 7, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such statement happens by June 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8oX4RCJJXAM
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-may-press-conference
| Yes |
| 2.92 |
| Choclate | Yes | 2.63 |
| spunkygood | Yes | 1.39 |
| macro.strategy | Yes | 0.03 |
| smoltrader | Yes | 0.01 |
| degens9 | No | 0.01 |
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