Will Harvard University cave to Trump’s demands before June?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$48.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 24% on 17 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 17 Apr 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 29% on 18 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 9.5% on 21 Apr 2025. $48.47K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 8:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 17 Apr 2025 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
17 Apr 2025	24.0%
1 Jun 2025	0.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
tenbillionaum	Yes	565
dpy1123	Yes	199.97
WIlliam	Yes	100

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On April 11, the Trump administration sent the following letter to Harvard University (see: https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/092f8701fdf305fd/4d7d152d-full.pdf) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University publicly announces it will comply with any demands outlined in the Trump administration's April 11 letter, by May 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Harvard will qualify regardless of if/when implementation occurs. The resolution source will be official announcements from Harvard, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.