Analytics
“Georgescu banned from Romania election?” is a world prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Jun 30, 2025. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 149 hourly price points from Dec 7, 2024 to May 4, 2025 (Yes between 22.5% and 99.7%); 55 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 90.6% of the loaded shares; 500 recent public fills from 376 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Calin Georgescu is banned from participating in the First Round of 2024 Romanian presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The determination will be based on whether Georgescu is legally prohibited from being a candidate when the First Round of 2024 Romanian presidential election takes place. If a ban is announced, this market will remain open until the first round of the election, in order to allow for any reversals of the ban. Any changes to Georgescu’s eligibility after the first round of voting will not be considered. If Georgescu decides not to participate, without having been formally banned, it will not be considered for this market - he must be legally prohibited for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If the first round of the Romanian presidential election does not begin by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official announcements from the government of Romania (including courts or election authorities) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/georgescu-banned-from-romania-election
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pepe15 | No | 3.79K |
| alenoi | No | 778.72 |
| Instructive-Dispatch | No | 500 |
| Aslan | No | 362.2 |
| 0xCrys | No | 298.26 |
| UsualMinnow | No | 169.93 |
| akaTisT | No | 164.77 |
| Curvy-Air | No | 160.73 |
| Baubau | No | 153.11 |
| Keen Pioneer 7038 | No | 108.7 |