Latest trade
Sep 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:21 AM UTC.
Analytics
ThunderFox54768 has made $42.68 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 41 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:21 AM UTC.
$9.93 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 37 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Nov 6, 2024 UTC to Sep 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.12 | $0.950 | $14.73 | +$0.37 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.12 | $0.950 | $14.36 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 07:53 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 03:21 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 03:21 UTC
polymarket positions
43 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 07:53 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $55.18 and losing ones cost $10.7 across 41 settled positions. 80.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $47.61 on “Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?” (No); the largest loss, $5.46 on “Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Sep 2026. It has traded 43 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.73 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 14.22 |
| $0.976 |
| $13.88 |
| Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | buy | 14.23 | $0.970 | $13.8 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.74 | $0.976 | $2.67 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.958 | $2.63 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.989 | $8.9 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.980 | $2.55 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.981 | $2.56 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | sell | 48.06 | $0.986 | $47.39 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | buy | 48.07 | $0.988 | $47.49 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 6?No | buy | 47.46 | $0.989 | $46.94 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?No | sell | 47.28 | $0.994 | $47 | Apr 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 47.29 | $0.962 | $45.51 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?Yes | buy | 45.5 | $0.996 | $45.31 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?No | sell | 10.05 | $0.981 | $9.86 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.994 | $45.18 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 9?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | buy | 15.13 | $0.991 | $14.99 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 22?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.770 | $1.28 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of November?Yes | buy | 8.34 | $0.959 | $8 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of November?Yes | buy | 6.19 | $0.969 | $6 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 17 above $5.50?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.989 | $7 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 22?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?No | sell | 49.74 | $0.870 | $43.27 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?No | buy | 49.74 | $0.970 | $48.25 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 54.77 | $0.881 | $48.25 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 54.78 | $0.981 | $53.72 | Nov 5, 2025 UTC |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.998 | $14.6 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Carney visit Halifax by October 31?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?No | buy | 53.68 | $0.964 | $51.75 | Oct 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 51.75 | $0.080 | $4.14 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.960 | $9.68 | Jan 10, 2025 UTC |
 Megaquake in January?No | buy | 4.74 | $0.960 | $4.55 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.998 | $2.93 | Dec 19, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.984 | $3.11 | Dec 6, 2024 UTC |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 3.46 | $0.985 | $3.41 | Nov 22, 2024 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.974 | $1.81 | Nov 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.921 | $2.1 | Nov 22, 2024 UTC |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 2.03 | $0.988 | $2.01 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.43K | $0.001 | $7.43 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
| Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10.94K | $0.001 | $10.94 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
| Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.37K | $0.001 | $18.37 | Nov 15, 2024 UTC |
 Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | sell | 6.42K | $0.001 | $6.42 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
| Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | sell | 11.95K | $0.001 | $11.95 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
| Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 18.37K | $0.001 | $18.37 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 360.25 | $0.005 | $1.8 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.