Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 25, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$184.0K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 25, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 14% on 19 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2025 to 25 Oct 2025, the highest close was 22% on 13 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 11.5% on 27 Sep 2025. $183.98K traded over the market's life.

65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 4:34 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 19 Aug 2025 – 25 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Aug 2025	14.0%
25 Oct 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	187.99K
Cookedtan	Yes	22.1K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	14.24K

10 of 65 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.