Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 8% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 4 Mar 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 2 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 11 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 0.6% on 3 Feb 2026. $50.37K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 4 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 8.0% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.83K |
| user67355 | Yes | 4.84K |
| Mediocre-Feather | Yes | 3.34K |
The first round of the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first-round turnout percentage in the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election, calculated as the total number of votes received (“votos recibidos”) divided by the total electorate (“electorado”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Costa Rica Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-2026-costa-rica-presidential-election-first-round
| Yes |
| 1.03K |
| HelloDhruv | Yes | 1K |
| Lined-Waterwheel | Yes | 932.5 |
| kandinsky | Yes | 650.01 |
| Tooslime | Yes | 444.44 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 233.11 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 229.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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