Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$87.4K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 22% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2024 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 22% on 14 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 8% on 15 Dec 2024. $87.35K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:59 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 1 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Dec 2024	22.0%
1 Feb 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
LetsBetOnThings	Yes	1.15K
rimigi	Yes	142.86
OhhYes	Yes	100

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On Thursday it was reported that there was no indication Luigi Mangione was ever insured by UnitedHealthcare (see https://www.nbcnewyork.com/manhattan/no-indication-luigi-mangione-ceo-killing-insured-unitedhealthcare/6064863/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that either of Luigi Mangione's parents were policy holders with UnitedHealthCare at any point in the past. Otherwise, this market to resolve to "No". The resolution source for the market is a consensus of credible reporting. If there is no confirmation by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET that either parent was a policy holder, this market will resolve to "No".