Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 50.56 | $0.890 | $49.68 | +$4.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 10.33 |
| $0.968 |
| $10.12 |
| +$0.12 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 75.45 | $0.211 | $4.15 | -$11.75 |
| buy |
| 26.6 |
| $0.940 |
| $25 |
| Mar 12, 2026 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 10.6 | $0.943 | $10 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No | buy | 26.16 | $0.955 | $25 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 27.17 | $0.920 | $25 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 11.38 | $0.879 | $10 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?No | sell | 72.46 | $0.760 | $55.07 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 42.75 | $0.936 | $40 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.950 | $40 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?No | buy | 20.81 | $0.961 | $20 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.960 | $40 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | sell | 88 | $0.931 | $81.93 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?No | sell | 99 | $0.941 | $93.11 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 135.56 | $0.900 | $122 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?No | sell | 125.55 | $0.970 | $121.78 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 49.38 | $0.810 | $40 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 54 | $0.943 | $50.9 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 95 | $0.942 | $89.49 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?No | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 31 | $0.963 | $29.85 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.942 | $9.42 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.884 | $79.56 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.883 | $79.48 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 56.74 | $0.881 | $50 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Obama in jail in 2025?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 26.43 | $0.946 | $25 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?No | buy | 30.98 | $0.968 | $30 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 31.71 | $0.946 | $30 | Aug 4, 2025 |