Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 174 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 9% on 31 Dec 2025. $17.84K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 174 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 20.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AlexKazak | Yes | 776.5 |
| Indigo Signal 1912 | Yes | 594.09 |
| jeli8 | Yes | 300.82 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify. Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-coup-attempt-by-june-30
| bluefields | Yes | 239.52 |
| JuanSablazo | Yes | 157.26 |
| Spotted-Chasuble | Yes | 144.82 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 117.12 |
| Wolfred | Yes | 104.9 |
| Hazya | Yes | 100 |
| Blinddonkey | Yes | 89.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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