Analytics
Phenium is down $19.9K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.53K | $0.296 | $1.07K | -$276.83 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 17:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
23 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 23:18 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 17:19 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.96K and losing ones cost $9.3K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.72K on “Will England win on 2026-07-18?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.15K on “Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET” (Down).
It has traded 591 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.21K across 23 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.05K |
| $0.275 |
| $563.75 |
| +$0.25 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.31K | $0.371 | $505.72 | +$17.9 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | Yes | 700 | $0.597 | $437.5 | +$19.5 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.145 | $402.87 | +$130.54 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1.62K | $0.180 | $299.42 | +$8.09 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 3.6K | $0.080 | $154.8 | -$133.2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 9.39K | $0.168 | $117.36 | -$1.46K |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 222 | $0.560 | $105.45 | -$18.87 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 260 | $0.375 | $94.9 | -$2.7 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 99.99 | $0.780 | $86.49 | +$8.5 |
| 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31? | Yes | 700 | $0.150 | $66.5 | -$38.5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.130 | $65 | $0 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 114.24 | $0.320 | $62.26 | +$25.7 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 227.51 | $0.182 | $44.36 | +$2.91 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.6K | $0.207 | $43.2 | -$702.1 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.140 | $32.25 | +$11.25 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 220 | $0.368 | $20.9 | -$60.1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 700 | $0.031 | $18.9 | -$2.6 |
 Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 66.76 | $0.150 | $13.35 | +$3.34 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 47.75 | $0.410 | $10.98 | -$8.6 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $1.15 | -$5.85 |
 Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Yes | 4.79 | $0.060 | $0.14 | -$0.15 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
