Latest trade
Sep 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:45 PM UTC.
Analytics
6sFjgt22jX8tME is down $3.92 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:45 PM UTC.
$1.44 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 0.0% were buys. They run from Sep 20, 2026 UTC to Sep 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.11 | $0.239 | $0.01 | -$4.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 6.82 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-20 11:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 13:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 13:45 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-20 11:47 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $137.55 and losing ones cost $155.19 across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $36.09 on “UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)” (Jeremiah Wells); the largest loss, $8.39 on “Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Sep 2026. It has traded 343 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.01 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.012 |
| $0.06 |
| Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 3.4 | $0.060 | $0.2 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.009 | $0.18 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 3.62 | $0.011 | $0.04 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.033 | $0.3 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 65.78 | $0.004 | $0.26 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 41.45 | $0.008 | $0.33 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.094 | $0.47 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 13.78 | $0.053 | $0.73 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Yes | sell | 6.68 | $0.120 | $0.8 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Yes | sell | 22.66 | $0.050 | $1.13 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes | sell | 6.92 | $0.150 | $1.04 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.260 | $0.65 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.43 | $0.080 | $0.67 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 15.9 | $0.086 | $1.37 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.73 | $0.490 | $1.34 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.81 | $0.090 | $1.24 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.360 | $1.44 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 5.21 | $0.290 | $1.51 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.78 | $0.100 | $1.48 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.023 | $0.81 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 6.69 | $0.230 | $1.54 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.280 | $1.68 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.100 | $1.43 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.630 | $1.75 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.390 | $1.87 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.68 | $0.150 | $1 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?Yes | sell | 24.11 | $0.060 | $1.45 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | sell | 11.7 | $0.160 | $1.87 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.64 | $0.026 | $0.28 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.19 | $0.889 | $1.95 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 6.44 | $0.300 | $1.93 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.700 | $1.94 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 2.14 | $0.940 | $2.01 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Astra removed from public access by September 30?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.950 | $1.95 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | sell | 2.23 | $0.890 | $1.98 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.300 | $1.62 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.240 | $1.6 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.35 | $0.900 | $2.12 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.934 | $2.05 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.680 | $2.06 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.35 | $0.880 | $2.07 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.110 | $0.69 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | sell | 2.35 | $0.900 | $2.12 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.21 | $0.972 | $2.15 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.760 | $2.17 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?Yes | sell | 2.28 | $0.928 | $2.12 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.