Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 363.59 | $0.022 | $8 | May 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 16.5 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.02 |
| May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.920 | $1.55 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?No | sell | 18.22 | $0.965 | $17.58 | May 17, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 4.95 | $0.820 | $4.06 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.470 | $1.71 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.810 | $2.7 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.940 | $1.07 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 9.44 | $0.999 | $9.43 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 72.6 | $0.780 | $56.63 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 13.2 | $0.938 | $12.38 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.840 | $11.09 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.34 | $0.883 | $10.9 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?No | sell | 10.84 | $0.977 | $10.59 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 9.7 | $0.900 | $8.73 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?No | buy | 10.93 | $0.985 | $10.77 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?No | sell | 11.56 | $0.878 | $10.15 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?No | buy | 11.56 | $0.910 | $10.52 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.961 | $10.56 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.900 | $6.56 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.971 | $3.11 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.975 | $10.57 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 13.2 | $0.790 | $10.43 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?Yes | sell | 9.47 | $0.999 | $9.46 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.996 | $1.17 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.770 | $9.32 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.48 | $0.999 | $9.47 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.770 | $9.32 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 8.9 | $0.998 | $8.88 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 8.9 | $0.998 | $8.88 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | buy | 9.48 | $0.932 | $8.84 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.997 | $8.88 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.997 | $8.88 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.997 | $8.88 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 9.45 | $0.937 | $8.85 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | buy | 29.61 | $0.280 | $8.29 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.998 | $1.26 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Russian strike on Poland by December 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Russian strike on Poland by December 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.610 | $2.67 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 9.66 | $0.280 | $2.7 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.198 | $1.45 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.160 | $1.09 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.162 | $2.26 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.730 | $1.18 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 84.67 | $0.015 | $1.27 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 8.8 | $0.410 | $3.61 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.997 | $3.19 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 3.21 | $0.998 | $3.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?No | sell | 4.92 | $0.988 | $4.86 | Dec 19, 2025 |