Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 29 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 29 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 20.6% on 9 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 20.6% on 9 Jan 2026. $2.21M traded over the market's life.
223 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 29 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | 4.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jmarcafella | Yes | 27.31K |
| MissWonderfun | Yes | 23.91K |
| NSGneverstopgambling | Yes | 23.82K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-tim-walz-resign-by
| Cosmic Kestrel 1C86 | Yes | 20.44K |
| chivoexpiatorio | Yes | 14.25K |
| TunaFishGR | Yes | 13.88K |
| sb911 | Yes | 13.39K |
| Cobalt Pulse E49B | Yes | 9.35K |
| 1fox | Yes | 7.99K |
| Nihao93 | Yes | 7.54K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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