Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 376.38 | $0.500 | $188.19 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 188.94 |
| $0.996 |
| $188.18 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 188.95 | $0.730 | $137.93 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 811.35 | $0.170 | $137.93 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 811.35 | $0.170 | $137.93 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 622.22 | $0.111 | $69.17 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.57K | $0.027 | $68.77 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.74K | $0.220 | $1.26K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.38K | $0.531 | $1.26K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 730.95 | $0.546 | $399.31 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 421.68 | $0.095 | $40 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.220 | $500 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.090 | $40 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 210.57 | $0.070 | $14.74 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | sell | 254.08 | $0.058 | $14.74 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.031 | $35.74 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes | sell | 238.29 | $0.150 | $35.74 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 245.5 | $0.140 | $34.37 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | buy | 257.5 | $0.039 | $10 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.9K | $0.033 | $130 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 267.85 | $0.542 | $145.29 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | sell | 478.28 | $0.170 | $81.47 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 119.04 | $0.400 | $47.62 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | buy | 478.29 | $0.189 | $90.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 729.48 | $0.027 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 355.12 | $0.056 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 384.71 | $0.052 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.032 | $60 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes | buy | 238.29 | $0.168 | $40 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 267.86 | $0.560 | $150 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 163.76 | $0.234 | $38.26 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes | buy | 380.91 | $0.053 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba nexYes | buy | 984.63 | $0.020 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.140 | $200 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 522.53 | $0.096 | $50 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.57K | $0.031 | $140 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.180 | $40 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 254.08 | $0.079 | $20 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.025 | $60 | Jan 10, 2026 |