Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Jun 24, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.4M

Resolved

Settled

Jun 24, 2026 UTC

Topic roomCuba and the region

Where it stands

Resolved No on 24 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 34% on 30 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 306 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2025 to 24 Jun 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34% on 30 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 24% on 31 Jul 2025. $2.39M traded over the market's life.

369 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 4:24 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 306 points, 30 Jul 2025 – 24 Jun 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.16M
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475	Yes	31.77K
e46m3	Yes	28.43K

Rules

How this market was settled

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).