Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.880 | $1.97 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.15 |
| $0.940 |
| $2.96 |
| Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.973 | $3.01 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?No | sell | 3.14 | $0.966 | $3.03 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.961 | $2.13 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.910 | $2.76 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Xi visit the US before September?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.987 | $5.24 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China before September?No | sell | 4.3 | $0.985 | $4.24 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.866 | $5.77 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.080 | $0.89 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on June 24?Down | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 27?Yes | sell | 2.31 | $0.103 | $0.24 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 28?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.110 | $0.26 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.350 | $0.76 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.998 | $2.05 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.852 | $1.84 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.350 | $0.78 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US strike on Iran on June 29?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.022 | $0.08 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.100 | $0.63 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | sell | 14.49 | $0.007 | $0.1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US strike on Iran on June 29?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 30?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.300 | $1.36 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 30?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | sell | 2.49 | $0.723 | $1.8 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 28?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.880 | $1.97 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 27?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.865 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.923 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 23?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.937 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | sell | 5.44 | $0.930 | $5.06 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.803 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House in June?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3 | Jun 20, 2025 |