Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.9%. Yes opened at 79% on 20 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 20 Jun 2025 to 24 Jun 2025, the highest close was 96.2% on 22 Jun 2025 and the lowest 74.9% on 24 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 74.9% on 24 Jun 2025. $2.04M traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 20 Jun 2025 – 24 Jun 2025, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2025 | 79.0% |
| 24 Jun 2025 | 74.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kodi1122 | No | 10.49K |
| TilincaAlex | No | 3.49K |
| 4pf | No | 2.69K |
| recar0699 | No | 2.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-strike-on-iran-on
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| xbanker | No | 1.82K |
| Eselmobil. | No | 1.5K |
| Imbettingoneverything | No | 1.5K |
| Imperial1 | No | 1.45K |
| Bad-ter | No | 941.29 |
| JamesonClarence | No | 927.26 |
