Will Trump visit China before September?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$118.7K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 6 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 22.5% on 7 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 8.5% on 15 Jun 2025. $118.66K traded over the market's life.

83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 6:27 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 6 Jun 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Jun 2025	16.5%
1 Sep 2025	0.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
youheadm	Yes	7.61K
Machinewolf3	Yes	2.59K
haowensun	Yes	2.33K

10 of 83 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China between June 5 and August 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.