Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 14 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 5 Jun 2025 and the low 0.3% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 60% on 29 May 2025. $71.86K traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 234 points, 14 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2025 | 26.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HNIC | Yes | 1.73K |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 1.21K |
| Cosmic Vector EDF1 |
On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which pauses, delays, or removes the 10% general tariff by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-10-blanket-tariff-in-2025
| Yes |
| 745.67 |
| BFBB | Yes | 391.51 |
| kamarat | Yes | 300 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 297 |
| S888 | Yes | 215.73 |
| randomWalkingShrimp | Yes | 213.94 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 210 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 146 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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