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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 985.92 | $0.710 | $645.77 | -$54.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 985.92 | $0.710 | $700 | 12d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 370.34 |
| $0.800 |
| $157.39 |
| -$138.88 |
| buy |
| 370.34 |
| $0.800 |
| $296.27 |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 106.55 | $0.320 | $34.1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.56 | $0.610 | $65 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 157.53 | $0.320 | $50.41 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 157.53 | $0.730 | $115 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.440 | $440 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 254.43 | $0.790 | $201 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 45.83 | $0.999 | $45.78 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 45.83 | $0.240 | $11 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 76.27 | $0.590 | $45 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.830 | $664 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 817.61 | $0.367 | $300 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 612.9 | $0.620 | $380 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 417.08 | $0.480 | $200 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.448 | $760 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 72.58 | $0.973 | $70.62 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.130 | $15 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 72.58 | $0.620 | $45 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 800 | $0.080 | $64 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 268.1 | $0.373 | $100 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.005 | $8.33 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel in June?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.084 | $90 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter MilanInter | buy | 1.67K | $0.420 | $700 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 97.22 | $0.216 | $21 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.820 | $825 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?Yes | buy | 36.62 | $0.683 | $25 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?Yes | buy | 33.86 | $0.443 | $15 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.190 | $15 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?No | buy | 177.78 | $0.450 | $80 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.130 | $15 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.470 | $25 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 191.93 | $0.026 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 53.95 | $0.371 | $20 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.88 | $0.967 | $55 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 92.11 | $0.380 | $35 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.130 | $15 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.998 | $34.41 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Berachain launch a token in November?Yes | buy | 189.91 | $0.105 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.260 | $12 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Vili Lehdonvirta as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 5, 2024 |