
Resolved Yes on 10 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 4 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 96.5% on 10 Apr 2025 and the low 25% on 4 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 96.5% on 10 Apr 2025. $99.12K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Apr 2025 – 10 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2025 | 25.0% |
| 10 Apr 2025 | 96.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| housleskytarou | No | 266.67 |
| Rezzan | No | 17.86 |
| TimEulenspiegel | No | 10 |
| usdtKing | Yes | 5.01 |
| emnfe | No | 2.63 |
| Kikopl | No | 1.47 |
| fuwei | No | 1.45 |
| EmberAbyssX | Yes | 1.21 |
| OverlookHotel | No | 0.08 |
| JumpingJackFlash | Yes | 0.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes the blanket "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 39 of the listed countries by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count. A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total. The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-reduce-majority-of-tariffs-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page