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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.780 | $11.35 | +$1.35 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.33 |
| $0.960 |
| $7.9 |
| -$0.1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 30.04 | $0.233 | $4.34 | -$2.66 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.26 | $0.936 | $2.18 | +$0.06 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | Yes | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.21 | $0.828 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.08 | $0.930 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 1.02 | $0.982 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1.09 | $0.921 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
| buy |
| 1.04 |
| $0.960 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.921 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.389 | $0.42 | 10d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 3.35 | $0.320 | $1.07 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.921 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Jake Lang be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.922 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.078 | $0.93 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.942 | $1.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.890 | $1.18 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.910 | $1.82 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.931 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.902 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |