Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Aug 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$31.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 5, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 5 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 233 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2025 to 5 Aug 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98% on 4 Aug 2026 and the lowest 39% on 3 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 77% on 27 Jan 2026. $31.76K traded over the market's life.

46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 233 points, 26 Nov 2025 – 5 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Nov 2025	50.0%
5 Aug 2026	97.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	4.95K
cowcat	No	1.12K
Royal Horizon 9999	No	1.09K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.