Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 23.4 | $0.300 | $13.57 | +$6.55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 43.06 | $0.160 | $6.89 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 16.64 |
| $0.430 |
| $13.4 |
| +$6.24 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 43.06 | $0.160 | $9.69 | +$2.8 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 17.55 | $0.400 | $9.39 | +$2.37 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 43.87 | $0.160 | $9.21 | +$2.19 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | No | 54 | $0.130 | $9.18 | +$2.16 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 17.55 | $0.400 | $8.34 | +$1.32 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | No | 20 | $0.330 | $7.5 | +$0.9 |
 Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | No | 25.85 | $0.260 | $6.98 | +$0.26 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 33.43 | $0.210 | $6.52 | -$0.5 |
 Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | No | 26.85 | $0.250 | $6.44 | -$0.27 |
 Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 22.52 | $0.300 | $6.42 | -$0.34 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 25.07 | $0.280 | $6.14 | -$0.88 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | No | 36.74 | $0.180 | $5.33 | -$1.29 |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | No | 61 | $0.110 | $4.61 | -$2.1 |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | No | 21.15 | $0.320 | $3.49 | -$3.28 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | No | 78 | $0.090 | $1.4 | -$5.62 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | No | 15.51 | $0.449 | $0.95 | -$6.01 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | No | 29.08 | $0.230 | $0.28 | -$6.41 |
| buy |
| 61 |
| $0.110 |
| $6.71 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?No | buy | 30.5 | $0.230 | $7.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.75 | $0.150 | $6.86 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?No | buy | 16.64 | $0.430 | $7.16 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.27 | $0.440 | $7.16 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.413 | $7.03 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 65.09 | $0.100 | $6.51 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 16.64 | $0.418 | $6.96 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?No | buy | 29.08 | $0.230 | $6.69 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 24.07 | $0.280 | $6.74 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.53 | $0.330 | $6.77 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?No | buy | 26.85 | $0.250 | $6.71 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?No | buy | 15.51 | $0.449 | $6.96 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | buy | 19.94 | $0.340 | $6.78 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?No | buy | 25.85 | $0.260 | $6.72 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 21.15 | $0.320 | $6.77 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?No | buy | 17.89 | $0.380 | $6.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?No | buy | 43.62 | $0.157 | $6.87 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?No | buy | 27.92 | $0.242 | $6.76 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 22.52 | $0.300 | $6.76 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?No | buy | 19.94 | $0.340 | $6.78 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?No | buy | 36.74 | $0.177 | $6.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 29.08 | $0.230 | $6.69 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?No | buy | 36.74 | $0.180 | $6.61 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Haiti elections delayed again?No | buy | 46.53 | $0.148 | $6.88 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | buy | 33.24 | $0.200 | $6.65 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?No | buy | 17.89 | $0.380 | $6.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No | buy | 19.39 | $0.350 | $6.79 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 15.42 | $0.440 | $6.78 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?No | buy | 63.64 | $0.104 | $6.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?No | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.19 | $0.410 | $6.64 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 17.89 | $0.368 | $6.58 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.135 | $6.75 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?No | buy | 77.78 | $0.090 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 30.43 | $0.230 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 77.78 | $0.090 | $7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 25.07 | $0.280 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No | buy | 78 | $0.090 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?No | buy | 33.43 | $0.210 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 33.43 | $0.210 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 23.4 | $0.300 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.440 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?No | buy | 33.43 | $0.210 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 43.87 | $0.160 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | buy | 27 | $0.260 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?No | buy | 54 | $0.130 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 29.25 | $0.240 | $7.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |