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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | 4.68 | $0.191 | $4.3 | +$3.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.015 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
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| No |
| 3.68 |
| $0.350 |
| $3.35 |
| +$2.06 |
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 3.69 | $0.240 | $3.01 | +$2.12 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 4.99 | $0.410 | $2.05 | $0 |
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | Yes | 3 | $0.350 | $1.97 | +$0.92 |
Will Twice release a song in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.090 | $1.63 | +$1.36 |
Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 35 | $0.023 | $0.96 | +$0.17 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.86 | $0.310 | $0.95 | -$0.25 |
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? | Yes | 12.99 | $0.112 | $0.77 | -$0.68 |
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | Yes | 13.63 | $0.170 | $0.75 | -$1.57 |
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.360 | $0.52 | +$0.16 |
Maduro guilty of all counts? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.100 | $0.42 | +$0.23 |
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4.09 | $0.260 | $0.37 | -$0.7 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.31 | $0.330 | $0.36 | -$0.07 |
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | Yes | 12.63 | $0.031 | $0.28 | -$0.11 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.220 | $0.27 | +$0.03 |
Will Félix Arratia Cruz win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | Yes | 5 | $0.030 | $0.17 | +$0.02 |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.150 | $0.17 | -$0.23 |
Will Indrek Laul be the next President of Estonia? | Yes | 21 | $0.030 | $0.09 | -$0.54 |
Will A Just Russia win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections? | Yes | 37.5 | $0.020 | $0.09 | -$0.66 |
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 1 | $0.051 | $0.08 | +$0.03 |
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.160 | $0.08 | -$0.1 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.1 | $0.051 | $0.08 | -$0.03 |
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 1.04 | $0.200 | $0.07 | -$0.14 |
Will José María Tapia Franco win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | Yes | 11.79 | $0.040 | $0.07 | -$0.4 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.019 |
| $0.02 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | sell | 1 | $0.017 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | sell | 1 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.180 | $0.18 | Aug 4, 2026 |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.084 | $0.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.026 | $0.03 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?No | sell | 1 | $0.012 | $0.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.042 | $0.04 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.009 | $0.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.278 | $0.28 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | sell | 1 | $0.460 | $0.46 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.056 | $0.06 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.025 | $0.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | sell | 1 | $0.073 | $0.07 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 1 | $0.057 | $0.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 1 | $0.066 | $0.07 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 1 | $0.150 | $0.15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will there be between 110m and 115m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.110 | $0.11 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.042 | $0.04 | Jul 31, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.347 | $0.52 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.243 | $0.24 | Jul 31, 2026 |
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 1 | $0.170 | $0.17 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.310 | $0.43 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?No | sell | 1 | $0.003 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.352 | $0.35 | Jul 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.280 | $0.28 | Jul 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.193 | $0.19 | Jul 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.237 | $0.24 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?No | sell | 1 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.055 | $0.06 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.127 | $0.13 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.044 | $0.04 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the US lose jobs in July?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.038 | $0.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will the US lose jobs in July?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.038 | $0.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.304 | $0.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.380 | $0.38 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.330 | $0.33 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | sell | 1 | $0.019 | $0.02 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?No | sell | 1 | $0.202 | $0.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 1 | $0.005 | $0.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 1 | $0.028 | $0.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 1 | $0.028 | $0.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | sell | 1 | $0.029 | $0.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.011 | $0.01 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.166 | $0.17 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.030 | $0.03 | Jul 24, 2026 |