Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 32% on 6 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 167 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 5 Aug 2026 (14 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.6% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 7% on 2 May 2026. $23.27K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 4:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 167 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 5 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 32.0% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.39K |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 517 |
| broach-02 | Yes | 347 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kansas-democratic-senate-primary-winner
| cadmium.thinks | Yes | 347 |
| born-plugin | Yes | 326 |
| line.soggy | Yes | 304 |
| winner-king | Yes | 302.64 |
| perepuk | Yes | 146.97 |
| animal.bean | Yes | 100 |
| olibillions | Yes | 60.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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