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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 55.64 | $0.683 | $47.02 | +$9.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.790 | $9.8 | May 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 35.65 |
| $0.842 |
| $34.29 |
| +$4.29 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 27.4 | $0.730 | $21.92 | +$1.92 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 22.73 | $0.880 | $21.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 12.41 | $0.790 | $12.06 | +$2.26 |
| buy |
| 22.73 |
| $0.880 |
| $20 |
| May 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 35.65 | $0.842 | $30 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.600 | $3.53 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 15.09 | $0.530 | $8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.695 | $8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 22.34 | $0.716 | $16 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 10.22 | $0.685 | $7 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.942 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.460 | $2.38 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.023 | $0.46 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift EditionYes | buy | 24.18 | $0.827 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 11.91 | $0.930 | $11.08 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Spain snap election called in 2025?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Starmer out in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | May 26, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?No | buy | 15 | $0.720 | $10.8 | May 25, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before June?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.947 | $5 | May 25, 2025 |
| 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.694 | $13.88 | May 8, 2025 |
 Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)Barcelona | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Erdoğan out in 2025?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will ETH hard fork before May?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Mar 27, 2025 |