Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 333 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 24% on 16 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 22% on 5 Feb 2025. $1.32M traded over the market's life.
220 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 333 points, 4 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Arnel | Yes | 137.94K |
| DFKbullish | Yes | 52.9K |
| fedparodi | Yes | 11.65K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| MaximRAWilson | Yes | 8.59K |
| Gethigher | Yes | 5.85K |
| chad1 | Yes | 5.48K |
| Sweaty-Hardware | Yes | 4.29K |
| Dental-Ride | Yes | 3.54K |
| Nippy-Withdrawal | Yes | 3.53K |
| nooneelse | Yes | 3.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
