Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 4 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 72.5% on 5 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 72.5% on 5 Mar 2025. $546.18K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 4 Mar 2025 – 1 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2025 | 23.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 5.05K |
| Metta | Yes | 1.77K |
| zupwlHYMcT | Yes | 274.05 |
| LittlePupBigBed | No | 247.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If an Ethereum hard fork occurs between March 2 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Ethereum blockchain, which can be explored here: https://etherscan.io
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-eth-hard-fork-before-may
New to prediction markets?
| oysterslaughter | No | 197.03 |
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| chomoko | No | 81.03 |
